Will Danish Social Liberal Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?
Probability
74¢
1h
-0.4pp
24h
+0.9pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$708.30
Probability (last 7 days)
+15.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 10:55SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.4pp
to 68¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 73¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 73¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.6pp
to 73¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.6pp
to 74¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.3pp
to 74¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.6pp
to 69¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.9pp
to 69¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 69¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.2pp
to 69¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.9pp
to 79¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.6pp
to 82¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 69¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.2pp
to 73¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.6pp
to 71¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 71¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.6pp
to 71¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.6pp
to 71¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.9pp
to 71¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.6pp
to 74¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.3pp
to 74¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 72¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.4pp
to 71¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.1pp
to 74¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 74¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.6pp
to 72¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 73¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.3pp
to 76¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.8pp
to 74¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Mar 24, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (45.2¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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