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OtherExpires Mar 24, 2026

Will Danish Social Liberal Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Probability

74¢

1h

-0.4pp

24h

+0.9pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$708.30

Probability (last 7 days)

+15.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 12:00Apr 25, 2026, 10:55
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 10:55Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -5.4pp

    to 68¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 3.7pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -3.2pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -4.6pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.6pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.3pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.6pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.9pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.2pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 21.9pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 22.6pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.2pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.6pp

    to 71¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 71¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.6pp

    to 71¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 17.6pp

    to 71¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.9pp

    to 71¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 17.6pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 17.3pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.4pp

    to 71¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.1pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.6pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.3pp

    to 76¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.8pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

A Parliamentary election is scheduled to be held in Denmark on March 24, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Danish government formed after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following the appointment of the Prime Minister and ministers by the monarch after the 2026 Danish parliamentary election, with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the government if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government from outside the cabinet (e.g., through parliamentary support agreements or similar arrangements) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Denmark.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Mar 24, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (45.2¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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