Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Baltimore Ravens in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
Probability
40¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+11.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$13.92
Probability (last 7 days)
-7.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 12pp over 24h
Now 40¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3407h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 80.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3407.3h
- 00:40SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 3407h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+6.5pp over the last 24h, now 40¢.
Biggest hourly move: -16.5pp at 2d ago (to 31¢).
Show top 8 of 24 hourly moves
- 08:00 · -11.0pp → 28¢
- 1d ago · +6.5pp → 36¢
- 1d ago · +8.0pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · +9.0pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · +7.5pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · -16.5pp → 31¢
- 2d ago · -13.5pp → 34¢
- 2d ago · -10.0pp → 37¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the NFL team that Dexter Lawrence is rostered on for Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If Dexter Lawrence is cut, retires, or is not on an NFL roster as of September 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York Giants and/or the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Sep 15, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (80.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.