Evil-Row
0x74957ea27ac4fbdee46d861fdae357859ff67fcf
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$4.7K
Total PnL
$2.8K
Realised
$1.7K
Win rate
84%
68 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
955 shares @ 28.9¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$773.43
$497.66
- NO
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
828 shares @ 15.3¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$620.81
$493.72
- NO
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?
840 shares @ 17.8¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$436.80
$287.60
- NO
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1170 shares @ 14.2¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$333.33
$167.19
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
840 shares @ 3.0¢·now 36.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$306.24
$280.96
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
1199 shares @ 17.2¢·now 24.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$293.86
$87.95
- YES
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
975 shares @ 7.7¢·now 18.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$175.47
$100.58
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
1199 shares @ 5.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$173.87
$113.92
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
800 shares @ 2.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$164.00
$148.00
- YES
Will Republican House incumbents not win in three or fewer nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
1139 shares @ 0.3¢·now 13.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$149.24
$146.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?$8.24Jul 25, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat?$3.00Jul 25, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$33.50Jul 25, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 26?$5.05Jul 25, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 26?$0.05Jul 25, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 26?$1.50Jul 25, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 26?$2.90Jul 25, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 26?$0.02Jul 25, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 26?$0.08Jul 25, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 26?$0.50Jul 25, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 26?$1.95Jul 25, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 26?$0.43Jul 25, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on July 26?$2.00Jul 25, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 26?$13.24Jul 25, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 26?$2.95Jul 25, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?$1.22Jul 25, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 26?$3.10Jul 25, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 26?$3.10Jul 25, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 26?$0.56Jul 25, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 26?$11.94Jul 25, 03:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
72/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
84% win rate over 68 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
68 closed markets, 84% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $9.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 02:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 03:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 68 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.