Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?

1. 1

   Down 1pp over 24h

   Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 203h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $1.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

4. 4

   UMA status: proposed

   An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

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This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.