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OtherExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will Drake feature 21 Savage on ICEMAN?

Probability

61¢

1h

+0.5pp

24h

+0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$107.74

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:35
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 76.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5985.4h

    LOW
  • 14:35Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 20.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the listed artists who feature on Drake's album "ICEMAN". To qualify as "featured", the listed artist must be credited on at least one song on the album according to at least one major streaming platform: namely Spotify, Apple Music, Amazon Music, or YouTube Music. If the album fails to release by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (76.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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