Will Elon Musk testify against Altman?

• 01
  Price move

  Up 23pp over 24h

  Now 100¢; +0.7pp in the last hour.

• 02
  Volume pressure

  Light volume — move on a thin book

  Only $6.6k traded against $50.7k of visible liquidity (0.13× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

• 03
  Active signal

  Momentum signal firing

  Probability moved up 23.4pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

• 04
  UMA status

  UMA status: proposed

  An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count. This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered. If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Elon Musk providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.