Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on April 30?
Probability
18¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$59.48
Liquidity
$1.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+5.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 18¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 106h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 10.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 106.3h
- 13:43SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 106h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 19¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 16¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 19¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 21¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 2¢-3.4pp
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $600b on April 30?
Other · Vol $109.69
- 13¢-2.2pp
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $630b and $640b on April 30?
Other · Vol $78.13
- 22¢+7.0pp
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?
Other · Vol $281.81
- 27¢+1.5pp
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?
Other · Vol $238.96
- 3¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $620b and $630b on April 30?
Other · Vol $211.26
- 30¢+12.0pp
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?
Other · Vol $163.61
- 3¢-0.7pp
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600b and $610b on April 30?
Other · Vol $30.93
- 4¢+1.5pp
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $610b and $620b on April 30?
Other · Vol $40.92
- 1¢-1.8pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 60¢0.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.5M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 0¢-35.4pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $953.1K
- 0¢-39.5pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $853.6K
- 60¢+2.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $806.1K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for April 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- BloombergNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).