Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?
Probability
3¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
-0.7pp
24h Vol
$748.88
Liquidity
$9.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.7pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 110.3h
- 09:41SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 110h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Data Set 13 of the Epstein Files is released between market creation and the listed date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying data set will be labeled "Data Set 13 Files" on the U.S. Department of Justice website in the Epstein Library. Any additions to previously released data sets or file releases under data sets with names not exhibiting a sequential relationship similar to that between "Data Set 7 Files" and "Data Set 8 Files" will not be considered. A partial release will qualify, so long as other qualifying conditions are met. The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Department of Justice website (see: https://www.justice.gov/epstein/doj-disclosures).
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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