Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
Probability
82¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-4.7pp
24h Vol
$684.72
Liquidity
$2.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6017.7h
- 11:18SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6018h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.3pp
to 74¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.3pp
to 74¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.1pp
to 74¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.4pp
to 71¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.6pp
to 74¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.9pp
to 75¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.9pp
to 75¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.9pp
to 75¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.1pp
to 74¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.7pp
to 74¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.6pp
to 72¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.7pp
to 71¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.9pp
to 74¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.6pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.4pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.1pp
to 87¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 87¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 87¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.6pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 87¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.7pp
to 88¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.7pp
to 87¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.7pp
to 87¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.1pp
to 87¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Extended, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).