OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 1, 2026

Will Fenerbahçe Beko win the 2025-26 Euroleague?

Probability

20¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-13.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$22.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+3.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:53
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 14pp over 24h

    Now 20¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 870h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 26.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 870.1h

    LOW
  • 17:53Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 870h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-13.0pp over the last 24h, now 20¢.

Biggest hourly move: +16.0pp at 2d ago (to 30¢).

Show all 47 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 17:00 · -3.5pp → 20¢
  • 13:00 · -6.0pp → 21¢
  • 12:00 · -6.0pp → 21¢
  • 10:00 · -6.0pp → 21¢
  • 02:00 · +5.0pp → 28¢
  • 00:00 · -3.5pp → 20¢
  • 22:00 · -3.5pp → 20¢
  • 20:00 · -3.5pp → 20¢
  • 18:00 · +9.5pp → 33¢
  • 1d ago · +7.0pp → 30¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 30¢
  • 1d ago · +15.5pp → 30¢
  • 2d ago · +16.0pp → 30¢
  • 2d ago · +13.5pp → 27¢
  • 2d ago · +12.5pp → 26¢
  • 2d ago · +12.5pp → 27¢
  • 2d ago · +12.5pp → 27¢
  • 2d ago · +12.0pp → 26¢
  • 2d ago · +9.5pp → 24¢
  • 2d ago · +10.0pp → 24¢
  • 2d ago · +8.0pp → 23¢
  • 2d ago · +7.5pp → 23¢
  • 2d ago · +6.5pp → 22¢
  • 2d ago · +7.5pp → 23¢
  • 2d ago · +7.5pp → 23¢
  • 2d ago · +8.0pp → 23¢
  • 2d ago · +8.5pp → 24¢
  • 2d ago · +8.0pp → 23¢
  • 3d ago · +8.5pp → 24¢
  • 3d ago · +8.0pp → 24¢
  • 3d ago · +8.5pp → 24¢
  • 3d ago · +11.5pp → 27¢
  • 3d ago · +12.0pp → 27¢
  • 3d ago · +11.5pp → 27¢
  • 3d ago · +11.5pp → 27¢
  • 3d ago · +12.0pp → 27¢
  • 3d ago · +11.0pp → 27¢
  • 3d ago · +11.0pp → 27¢
  • 3d ago · +10.5pp → 27¢
  • 3d ago · +11.0pp → 27¢
  • 3d ago · +10.5pp → 27¢
  • 3d ago · +7.5pp → 24¢
  • 3d ago · +7.5pp → 24¢
  • 3d ago · +7.5pp → 24¢
  • 3d ago · +7.5pp → 24¢
  • 3d ago · +7.0pp → 24¢
  • 4d ago · +7.0pp → 24¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club wins the 2025-2026 Euroleague season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2025-2026 Euroleague per the rules of the Euroleague (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Euroleague (https://www.euroleaguebasketball.net/euroleague/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
euroleaguebasketball.net
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (26.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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