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OtherExpires May 20, 2026

Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

Probability

81¢

1h

+1.5pp

24h

+9.0pp

24h Vol

$479.83

Liquidity

$3.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:49
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 9pp over 24h

    Now 81¢; +1.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 584h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $3.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 584.2h

    LOW
  • 15:49Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 584h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 77¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.0pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

"The Boys: Season 5" is scheduled to air weekly, beginning April 8, 2026, and ending with the finale on May 20, 2026 This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "The Boys: Season 5". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "The Boys: Season 5" will count toward resolution. Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead before "The Boys: Season 5" begins will not count toward this market’s resolution. If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "The Boys: Season 5" will qualify. Only events depicted in official "The Boys: Season 5" episodes will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the final episode of "The Boys: Season 5" is released.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 20, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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