Will Georgia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
Probability
5¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.2pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
-3.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $1.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
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Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 482.5h
Price movement
+0.2pp over the last 24h, now 5¢.
Biggest hourly move: -4.7pp at 3d ago (to 4¢).
Show top 8 of 23 hourly moves
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · -4.1pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · -4.3pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · -4.1pp → 5¢
- 3d ago · -4.5pp → 4¢
- 3d ago · -4.7pp → 4¢
- 3d ago · -4.4pp → 4¢
- 3d ago · -4.3pp → 4¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 16, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingLinkTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.