BusinessExpires Apr 29, 2026

Will Google say "Circle to Search" during earnings call?

Probability

66¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$337.06

Probability (last 7 days)

+20.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 22:00Apr 25, 2026, 21:04
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 66¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 75h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Wide spread — 14.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 74.9h

    LOW
  • 21:04Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 75h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-6.0pp over the last 24h, now 66¢.

Biggest hourly move: +26.0pp at 22:00 (to 72¢).

Show all 38 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 21:00 · +18.5pp → 66¢
  • 20:00 · +19.5pp → 66¢
  • 19:00 · +22.0pp → 67¢
  • 17:00 · +4.0pp → 49¢
  • 15:00 · +21.0pp → 66¢
  • 12:00 · +21.0pp → 67¢
  • 11:00 · +23.0pp → 70¢
  • 09:00 · +21.5pp → 67¢
  • 08:00 · +22.5pp → 68¢
  • 06:00 · +21.5pp → 67¢
  • 05:00 · +21.5pp → 67¢
  • 03:00 · +21.5pp → 67¢
  • 02:00 · +21.5pp → 67¢
  • 00:00 · +21.5pp → 67¢
  • 22:00 · +26.0pp → 72¢
  • 1d ago · +17.5pp → 67¢
  • 1d ago · +16.0pp → 65¢
  • 1d ago · +18.0pp → 67¢
  • 1d ago · +18.5pp → 67¢
  • 1d ago · +20.0pp → 67¢
  • 1d ago · +17.5pp → 66¢
  • 1d ago · +24.5pp → 72¢
  • 1d ago · +18.5pp → 66¢
  • 1d ago · +12.0pp → 59¢
  • 1d ago · +10.0pp → 59¢
  • 2d ago · +11.0pp → 59¢
  • 2d ago · +12.0pp → 59¢
  • 2d ago · +11.5pp → 58¢
  • 2d ago · +11.5pp → 59¢
  • 2d ago · +9.5pp → 59¢
  • 2d ago · +8.0pp → 55¢
  • 2d ago · +11.5pp → 59¢
  • 2d ago · +9.5pp → 56¢
  • 2d ago · +10.5pp → 56¢
  • 2d ago · +10.5pp → 57¢
  • 2d ago · +11.0pp → 58¢
  • 2d ago · +10.0pp → 56¢
  • 2d ago · +6.5pp → 53¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Google (Alphabet) currently scheduled to take place on April 29, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
the next earnings announcement of Google (Alphabet) currently scheduled to take place on April 29, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET
Type
Ambiguous wording
Confidence
extracted · low
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (14.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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