Will Google say "Translate" or "Translation" during earnings call?
Probability
47¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
+5.5pp
24h Vol
$5.00
Liquidity
$161.59
Probability (last 7 days)
-14.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 83.9h
- 12:08SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 84h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 47¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 45¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 48¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 43¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 46¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 37¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 38¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 41¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 46¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 46¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 43¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 49¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.0pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.5pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.5pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.0pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.5pp
to 43¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Google (Alphabet) currently scheduled to take place on April 29, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).