Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?
Probability
4¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.1pp
24h Vol
$63.12
Liquidity
$1.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 782.7h
- 09:19SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 783h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.7pp
to 19¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.4pp
to 14¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.4pp
to 14¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.1pp
to 20¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.3pp
to 21¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.3pp
to 18¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.2pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.3pp
to 20¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season. If the listed club is officially relegated by the Bundesliga following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).