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SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 31, 2026

Will Harry Kane record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?

Probability

63¢

1h

+0.5pp

24h

+1.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$18.91

Probability (last 7 days)

+2.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:59
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 63¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 850h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 59.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 850.0h

    LOW
  • 13:59Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 850h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 07:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 58¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 61¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventUEFA Champions League: Most Player of the Match Awards
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve to the player who collects the most Player of the Match awards through all rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/news/029d-1ebd2e90ac06-6c331a7ee578-1000--every-uefa-champions-league-player-of-the-match/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (59.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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