Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?
Probability
12¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+4.5pp
24h Vol
$489.87
Liquidity
$3.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
-15.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3065.3h
- 06:40SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3065h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 17¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 18¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 20¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 18¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 17¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 15¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 7¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.0pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -32.0pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.5pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 7¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.5pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.5pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.5pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 10¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 10¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
Drake's new album 'Iceman' is expected to release in the summer of 2026. This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for Drake's album 'Iceman', according to Hits Daily Double. If the album 'Iceman' has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Aug 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).