Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
Probability
37¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
+10.5pp
24h Vol
$290.10
Liquidity
$20.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+19.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 283.3h
- 10:43SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 283h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:43PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 36¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 30¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 30¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 30¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 30¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 30¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 30¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 30¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 30¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 30¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 30¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 30¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 29¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 28¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 26¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 26¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 26¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 25¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 25¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 25¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 25¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 25¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 27¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 29¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 35¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 7, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
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