Will Karrigan retire by June 30?
Probability
4¢
1h
+0.7pp
24h
+0.2pp
24h Vol
$5.00
Liquidity
$2.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
-5.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1575.4h
- 08:37SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1575h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.4pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.4pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.9pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.1pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.1pp
to 3¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Karrigan, the professional Counter-Strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement from Karrigan that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred. Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless Karrigan explicitly announces his retirement from professional competitive esports. The resolution source will be official announcements from Karrigan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).