Will Kendrick Lamar have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 103h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $1.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 103.2h
- 16:46SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 103h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.3pp
to 1¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.4pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.8pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.4pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.4pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.4pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.8pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.6pp
to 1¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the second greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on April 30, 2026, 12PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- to the listed artist with the second greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on April 30, 2026, 12PM EAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
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