Alarmed-Kindness
0xd73b94e93d5e464d72e0e2295bbe6be4bb31d8e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$159.03
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
100%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?
5181 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-44.17
- YES
Will Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam?
4770 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-44.20
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?
3234 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-7.17
- YES
Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next President of Vietnam?
2383 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-44.54
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on April 1?
1384 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-63.81
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 1?
1384 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-63.81
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
1355 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
1355 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
1355 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 1?
1314 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-64.09
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Nikema Williams be the Democratic Nominee for GA-05?$9.77May 20, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$5.20Apr 19, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?$0.50Apr 16, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$10.00Apr 16, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$90.00Apr 16, 15:09 UTC
- MERGEWill the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$5.01Apr 9, 22:00 UTC
- MERGEWill Bam Adebayo win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$16.86Apr 9, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$0.20Apr 9, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$0.42Apr 7, 19:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$13.43Apr 7, 19:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$100.00Apr 7, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bam Adebayo win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$16.84Apr 7, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Charlotte Hornets win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?$4.62Apr 6, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 2?$0.95Apr 5, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 2?$2.45Apr 5, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 3?$3.98Apr 5, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close at >$140 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?$6.69Apr 5, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$10.00Apr 5, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at >$140 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 30 – Apr 3?$6.68Apr 3, 20:54 UTC
- CONVERSIONPeru Presidential Election Winner$5.00Apr 2, 23:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $5.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 23:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 02:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".