SportsExpires Sep 1, 2026

Will Lens qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?

Probability

92¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$261.86

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:56
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3078h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 10.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 3078.1h

    LOW
  • 17:56Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 3078h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 92¢.

Biggest hourly move: +3.0pp at 2d ago (to 93¢).

Show all 16 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 23:00 · +3.0pp → 93¢
  • 21:00 · +3.0pp → 93¢
  • 20:00 · +3.0pp → 93¢
  • 18:00 · +3.0pp → 93¢
  • 1d ago · +3.0pp → 93¢
  • 1d ago · +3.0pp → 93¢
  • 1d ago · +3.0pp → 93¢
  • 1d ago · +3.0pp → 93¢
  • 1d ago · +3.0pp → 93¢
  • 1d ago · +3.0pp → 93¢
  • 1d ago · +3.0pp → 93¢
  • 1d ago · +3.0pp → 93¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 93¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 93¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 93¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 93¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventLigue 1: Team to qualify for UEFA Champions League
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Champions League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the teams that qualified for the 2026-27 Champions League have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Sep 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

3 wallets
Open on Polymarket