SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 4, 2026

Will Leylah Fernandez win the 2026 Women's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?

Probability

1¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-6.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$67.95

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 04:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:55
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 7pp over 24h

    Now 1¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 198h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $68 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 198.1h

    LOW
  • 17:55Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 198h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-6.5pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.

Biggest hourly move: -48.5pp at 06:00 (to 1¢).

Show all 26 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 17:00 · -18.9pp → 1¢
  • 15:00 · -36.6pp → 1¢
  • 11:00 · -48.5pp → 1¢
  • 09:00 · -48.5pp → 1¢
  • 08:00 · -48.5pp → 1¢
  • 06:00 · -48.5pp → 1¢
  • 05:00 · -48.0pp → 1¢
  • 03:00 · -48.0pp → 1¢
  • 02:00 · -48.0pp → 1¢
  • 00:00 · -47.9pp → 1¢
  • 23:00 · -41.6pp → 7¢
  • 21:00 · -41.5pp → 8¢
  • 20:00 · -41.5pp → 8¢
  • 18:00 · -41.5pp → 8¢
  • 1d ago · -41.5pp → 8¢
  • 1d ago · -41.5pp → 8¢
  • 1d ago · -29.5pp → 19¢
  • 1d ago · -29.5pp → 19¢
  • 1d ago · -29.5pp → 19¢
  • 1d ago · -29.5pp → 19¢
  • 1d ago · -30.0pp → 19¢
  • 1d ago · -29.5pp → 19¢
  • 2d ago · -30.0pp → 19¢
  • 2d ago · -29.9pp → 20¢
  • 2d ago · -48.0pp → 1¢
  • 2d ago · -48.0pp → 1¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same event2026 Madrid Open: Women’s Singles Winner
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Madrid Open (https://mutuamadridopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 4, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
mutuamadridopen.com
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

2 wallets
Open on Polymarket