UnclassifiedExpires Jan 1, 2027

Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?

Probability

14¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$5.00

Liquidity

$10.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

-4.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 09:00Apr 27, 2026, 08:56
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  • 1

    Thin liquidity

    Only $10.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5972.1h

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 14¢.

Biggest hourly move: -5.0pp at 4d ago (to 14¢).

Show 3 hourly moves
  • 4d ago · -4.5pp → 14¢
  • 4d ago · -5.0pp → 14¢
  • 4d ago · -4.0pp → 14¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

13
Same eventWhat price will Lighter hit in 2026?
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Lighter 1-minute candle for Lighter (LIT/USDC) between December 30, 2025, 14:25 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Lighter, specifically the LIT/USDC “High” prices available at: https://app.lighter.xyz/trade/LIT_USDC with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Lighter LIT/USDC price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jan 1, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
app.lighter.xyz
Link
app.lighter.xyz
Type
Source not classified
Confidence
extracted · low
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket