Will Malaga CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?
Probability
63¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
+13.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$11.78
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 13pp over 24h
Now 63¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 706h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 67.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 706.0h
- 13:59SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 706h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 56¢+7.0pp
Will SD Almeria achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢+38.0pp
Will Burgos CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 47¢+33.5pp
Will CD Castellon achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-0.1pp
Will Albacete Balompie achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?
Other · Vol $250.00
- 3¢-2.9pp
Will FC Andorra achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?
Other · Vol $127.19
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Cadiz CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢0.0pp
Will AD Ceuta FC achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Cultural Leonesa achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 61¢+1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.0M
- 1¢-2.0pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 0¢-35.4pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $1.0M
- 0¢-39.5pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $864.1K
- 60¢+2.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $833.8K
Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in LALIGA for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the LALIGA 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by LALIGA and LALIGA 2. If the 2026 LALIGA 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from LALIGA and LALIGA 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (67.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.