Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?
Probability
14¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
+25.1pp
24h Vol
$128.08
Liquidity
$87.79
Probability (last 7 days)
-8.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 830.7h
- 09:15SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 831h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 22¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.2pp
to 22¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.8pp
to 22¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.8pp
to 22¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.7pp
to 22¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.7pp
to 22¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.7pp
to 22¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.2pp
to 24¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.6pp
to 25¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.3pp
to 25¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.8pp
to 25¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.8pp
to 24¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 25¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.3pp
to 26¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.8pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 8¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.9pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.9pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.7pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.7pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.2pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.8pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.7pp
to 8¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season. If the listed club is officially relegated by La Liga following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 La Liga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from La Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (26.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).