0x48e8bbb02ae7d0a7e98c873d4232a81a048540e1
0x48e8bbb02ae7d0a7e98c873d4232a81a048540e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$48.66
Total PnL
$-5.49
Realised
$-3.54
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
15 shares @ 62.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.87
$5.57
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
10 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$10.00
$1.20
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
9 shares @ 82.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.70
$1.50
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$3.15
- YES
Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$5.00
$2.20
- NO
Will Alavés be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$5.00
$1.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
10 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.09
$-3.62
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
38 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.72
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
19 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.14
- YES
Will Mainz finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?
5 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elche CF win on 2026-03-01?$0.00Mar 21, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 17, 7PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 21?$0.00Mar 21, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on March 21?$0.00Mar 21, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elche CF win on 2026-03-01?$0.00Mar 21, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 17, 7PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 19, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elche CF win on 2026-03-01?$0.00Mar 21, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 17, 7PM ET$0.00Mar 21, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$0.00Mar 21, 10:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 09:20 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 13:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.