Will Martín Zubimendi record the most yellow cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
Probability
38¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
+1.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$17.63
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 38¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 849h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 72.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 848.6h
- 15:23SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 849h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 32¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 35¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 42¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 35¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 40¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 37¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 39¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the player who records the most yellow cards through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (72.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).