Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?
Probability
53¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-12.5pp
24h Vol
$12.50
Liquidity
$399.10
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 7575.5h
- 08:32SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 7575h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 53¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 53¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 53¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 52¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 52¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 50¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 50¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 50¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 65¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 65¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 65¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 66¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 66¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 65¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 65¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 65¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 66¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 66¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 66¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 66¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 66¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 66¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 66¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 67¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 63¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Mar 7, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to face in a UFC boutAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (29.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).