Will Millwall achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?
Probability
35¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-14.0pp
24h Vol
$34.29
Liquidity
$3.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 14pp over 24h
Now 35¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $3.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 40¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 658.0h
Price movement
-14.0pp over the last 24h, now 35¢.
Biggest hourly move: -21.5pp at 1d ago (to 30¢).
Show top 8 of 21 hourly moves
- 01:00 · -17.0pp → 34¢
- 00:00 · -17.0pp → 34¢
- 22:00 · -17.0pp → 34¢
- 21:00 · -17.0pp → 34¢
- 20:00 · -17.5pp → 34¢
- 1d ago · -21.5pp → 30¢
- 1d ago · -21.0pp → 30¢
- 1d ago · -20.0pp → 30¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League (EPL) for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the English Premier League (EPL) for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the EFL Championship, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the EFL Championship and the English Premier League (EPL). If the 2025-26 EFL Championship season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the EFL Championship and the English Premier League (EPL). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.