Will "Moonrise" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Probability
5¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$991.63
Probability (last 7 days)
-14.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 661.8h
- 10:14SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 662h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:14PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.8pp
to 5¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.8pp
to 5¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.9pp
to 5¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.8pp
to 5¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.8pp
to 5¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.8pp
to 5¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.8pp
to 5¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.9pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.7pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.6pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.1pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.6pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.1pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.1pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.1pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.1pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.1pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.6pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.5pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.3pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.4pp
to 1¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.4pp
to 1¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.9pp
to 1¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.9pp
to 1¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards are scheduled to occur in Japan on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed title that wins the Best Original Anime Award at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed title which comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards and the official Crunchyroll website (https://www.crunchyroll.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 23, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (8.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).