Will MrBeast hit 119 billion views by April 30?
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.2pp
24h Vol
$7.1K
Liquidity
$4.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+5.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 107h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $4.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 107.0h
- 13:02SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 107h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.2pp
to 100¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 100¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 100¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.9pp
to 100¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.9pp
to 100¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.9pp
to 100¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 100¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 99¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.9pp
to 99¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 99¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 100¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.9pp
to 100¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.8pp
to 100¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.1pp
to 100¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 100¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of views by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast).
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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