Will MrBeast hit 120.5 billion views by April 30?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$5.00
Liquidity
$1.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $1.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 97.1h
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.
Biggest hourly move: -12.8pp at 05:00 (to 1¢).
Show 4 hourly moves
- 09:00 · -3.0pp → 1¢
- 08:00 · -4.1pp → 1¢
- 06:00 · -4.3pp → 1¢
- 05:00 · -12.8pp → 1¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of views by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast).
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.