OtherMulti-outcomeExpires May 31, 2026

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Probability

0¢

+0.0pp

24h

-8.0pp

24h Vol

$64.7K

Liquidity

$316.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

-39.0pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:43

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors

1
Down 8pp over 24h
Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.
2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 845h with open resolution ambiguity.
3
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 845.3h
LOW
18:43Signal
Resolution risk
Expires in 845h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW

Price movement

-7.4pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: -90.5pp at 11:00 (to 0¢).

Show all 41 hour-by-hour ticks

18:43 · -59.5pp → 0¢
17:00 · -76.0pp → 0¢
15:00 · -80.5pp → 0¢
14:00 · -82.0pp → 0¢
12:00 · -90.5pp → 0¢
11:00 · -90.5pp → 0¢
09:00 · -89.0pp → 0¢
08:00 · -89.0pp → 0¢
06:00 · -90.3pp → 0¢
05:00 · -88.2pp → 0¢
03:00 · -89.2pp → 0¢
02:00 · -87.2pp → 1¢
00:00 · -83.4pp → 3¢
22:00 · -85.0pp → 5¢
21:00 · -73.0pp → 14¢
20:00 · -64.5pp → 22¢
1d ago · -86.0pp → 8¢
1d ago · -85.0pp → 9¢
1d ago · -83.5pp → 9¢
1d ago · -82.0pp → 10¢
1d ago · -83.0pp → 9¢
1d ago · -76.5pp → 16¢
1d ago · -75.0pp → 17¢
1d ago · -82.0pp → 10¢
1d ago · -80.5pp → 10¢
2d ago · -76.0pp → 18¢
2d ago · -75.0pp → 18¢
2d ago · -58.0pp → 36¢
2d ago · -53.5pp → 40¢
2d ago · -54.5pp → 32¢
2d ago · -53.0pp → 34¢
2d ago · -10.5pp → 54¢
2d ago · -12.5pp → 54¢
2d ago · -3.5pp → 66¢
2d ago · +7.0pp → 75¢
2d ago · +17.0pp → 74¢
2d ago · +18.5pp → 74¢
2d ago · +29.5pp → 73¢
2d ago · +21.5pp → 64¢
3d ago · +34.5pp → 74¢
3d ago · +36.5pp → 76¢

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same event# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?

Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk

End date: May 31, 2026
UMA status: proposed
Resolution source: @MrBeastSocial media postextracted · medium
youtube.com
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

UMA status: proposed
Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket