Will Natus Vincere qualify for EWC 2026?
Probability
14¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$630.78
Probability (last 7 days)
-36.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Wide spread — 6.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 507.1h
Price movement
+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 14¢.
Biggest hourly move: -39.0pp at 2d ago (to 14¢).
Show all 12 hour-by-hour ticks
- 2d ago · -35.0pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -35.5pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -36.5pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -39.0pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -39.0pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -36.5pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -35.5pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -35.0pp → 14¢
- 3d ago · -36.0pp → 14¢
- 3d ago · -35.5pp → 14¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The Esports World Cup 2026 EMEA Qualifier is scheduled to take place from April 28 to May 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to which teams qualify for the EWC 2026 Main Event through the EMEA Qualifier. If the listed team officially qualifies as one of the teams advancing from the EMEA Qualifier to the EWC 2026 Main Event, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Ties in standings will be broken according to the official Esports World Cup Foundation rules. If the Esports World Cup 2026 is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or if the official list of EWC 2026 participants is not published by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the Esports World Cup (https://esportsworldcup.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Esports_World_Cup/2026/EMEA) may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 17, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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