SportsExpires May 3, 2026

Will New York Knicks advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

Probability

47¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$127.19

Liquidity

$16.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

-26.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:54
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 47¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 174h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $16.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 174.1h

    LOW
  • 17:55Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 174h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 47¢.

Biggest hourly move: -39.0pp at 2d ago (to 50¢).

Show all 36 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 17:00 · -17.0pp → 47¢
  • 15:00 · -17.0pp → 47¢
  • 14:00 · -16.5pp → 47¢
  • 12:00 · -16.5pp → 47¢
  • 11:00 · -16.5pp → 47¢
  • 09:00 · -16.5pp → 47¢
  • 08:00 · -16.5pp → 47¢
  • 06:00 · -16.5pp → 47¢
  • 05:00 · -16.5pp → 47¢
  • 03:00 · -16.5pp → 47¢
  • 02:00 · -16.0pp → 48¢
  • 00:00 · -15.5pp → 48¢
  • 23:00 · -15.5pp → 48¢
  • 21:00 · -15.5pp → 48¢
  • 20:00 · -15.5pp → 48¢
  • 18:00 · -15.5pp → 48¢
  • 1d ago · -16.0pp → 48¢
  • 1d ago · -16.0pp → 48¢
  • 1d ago · -16.0pp → 48¢
  • 1d ago · -16.0pp → 48¢
  • 1d ago · -16.0pp → 48¢
  • 1d ago · -16.0pp → 48¢
  • 1d ago · -16.0pp → 48¢
  • 2d ago · -16.0pp → 48¢
  • 2d ago · -16.0pp → 48¢
  • 2d ago · -16.0pp → 48¢
  • 2d ago · -39.0pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · -3.5pp → 78¢
  • 2d ago · -17.5pp → 64¢
  • 2d ago · -18.5pp → 64¢
  • 2d ago · -18.5pp → 64¢
  • 2d ago · -21.0pp → 64¢
  • 2d ago · -25.5pp → 64¢
  • 2d ago · -19.5pp → 64¢
  • 2d ago · -26.0pp → 64¢
  • 2d ago · -9.5pp → 64¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventNBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Conference Semifinals
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
nba.comOfficial sports resultextracted · high
nba.com
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket