Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
-0.6pp
24h Vol
$416.69
Liquidity
$24.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
-8.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 141.2h
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 2¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 2¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 2¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 2¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.6pp
to 1¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.6pp
to 1¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.8pp
to 1¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.8pp
to 1¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 2¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 2¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 2¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 2¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.7pp
to 2¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 2¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.6pp
to 2¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.4pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.3pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.3pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.7pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.1pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.6pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 2¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 1¢-0.4pp
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in April?
Other · Vol $404.22
- 1¢-0.8pp
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in April?
Other · Vol $266.98
- 1¢-0.4pp
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in April?
Other · Vol $595.36
- 1¢+0.7pp
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in April?
Other · Vol $917.02
- 1¢-0.6pp
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in April?
Other · Vol $786.64
- 6¢-0.5pp
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?
Other · Vol $21.28
- 100¢0.0pp
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in April?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+34.4pp
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in April?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 2¢-1.7pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.2M
- 1¢-1.9pp
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $432.7K
- 89¢+5.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $421.5K
- 48¢+3.0pp
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $398.9K
- 38¢+2.5pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Other · Vol $340.6K
- 16¢0.0pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Other · Vol $260.8K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of Natural Gas futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For Natural Gas futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For Natural Gas (NG) futures, the last trading day is defined as the third last business day of the month prior to the contract month, consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month Natural Gas futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=ngd, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month Natural Gas (NG) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://pythdata.app/explore
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- Enchanting-Texture2.7K
- Even-Space1.6K
- Wobbly-Order1.2K
- Known-Use750
- Canine-Practice497