Will Nottingham Forest reach the UEFA Europa League final?
Probability
37¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$204.06
Liquidity
$7.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 37¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $7.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 266.5h
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 37¢.
Biggest hourly move: -3.0pp at 2d ago (to 35¢).
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 UEFA Europa League final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after June 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Europa League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 7, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.