Will Novak Djokovic play in the 2022 US Open?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$898.83
Orrery restored this market from Polymarket's closed-market records. Treat the numbers below as last-known market context, then verify the resolution source before citing the outcome.
Canonical status
confidence: mediumSource status (Polymarket)
Derived status (Orrery)
Reason
Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Aug 30, 2022
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (100.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk observation firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 02Spread cost
Wide spread — 100.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable advantage. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Aug 30, 2022
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (100.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Verification Brief
A guided checklist for what must be proven before this market is treated as reliable context.
The market appears resolved. The useful check is whether the source and final oracle state match the displayed outcome.
Verification goal
Map resolution-relevant sources to the exact criteria needed to avoid misreading price as settlement.
What needs proof
Primary source
requiredConfirm the primary source and whether it directly answers the market's resolution question.
Current evidence: https://www.usopen.org/index.html
Contract wording
requiredExtract the exact condition that makes YES resolve true and note any exclusions, time zone, deadline, or fallback rule.
Orrery verification task Will Novak Djokovic play in the 2022 US Open? State: Resolved NO — officially resolved Need sources for: 1. Primary source: Confirm the primary source and whether it directly answers the market's resolution question. 2. Contract wording: Extract the exact condition that makes YES resolve true and note any exclusions, time zone, deadline, or fallback rule. 3. Liquidity context: Check whether the move is supported by enough liquidity and volume to treat it as meaningful context. Drop only durable links that map to one criterion. Research only. Not trade advice.
Orrery verification brief Will Novak Djokovic play in the 2022 US Open? State: officially resolved Verify: Primary source + Contract wording Price is not settlement. Research only. Not trade advice.
Market link goes in reply
A controlled loop for durable sources. Every source must answer one criterion from this Verification Brief.
Sources
0
Criteria covered
0
Reviewed
0
Awaiting review
0
Submit a source mapped to a criterion
Recent source checks
Pilot audit summary
Research only · Not trade advice · Every source maps to one criterion
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 08:33SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
The US Open Tennis Championships is one of the oldest tennis championships in the world, the fourth and final Grand Slam tournament of the year. The US Open starts on the last Monday of August and continues for two weeks, with the middle weekend coinciding with the US Labor Day holiday. The 2022 US Open main draw is scheduled for August 29 through September 11, 2022. Serbian tennis player Novak Djokovic is back on top of the tennis world after winning his seventh Wimbledon title on July 10. As of the time of this market's publication, Mr. Djokovic is not permitted entry into the United States because he is not vaccinated against COVID-19. As he refuses to get the vaccine, the Wimbledon champion is hopeful that US authorities will change any laws requiring COVID-19 vaccination for entry into the US in time for him to compete at the US Open. This is a market on whether Novak Djokovic will play at least one point in the 2022 US Open for the Men's Singles Tournament. If Novak Djokovic plays at least one point in the 2022 US Open and the score is 15-0, or loses one point and the score is 0-15, then this will suffice to resolve the market to "Yes.". The market cannot resolve to "Yes" until Djokovic has actually played a point. This market will resolve to “No” if the first round of the 2022 US Open Tennis Championships starts and Novak Djokovic is not listed as a participant in any matches. If Djokovic is listed as a participant but does not play a single point, the market will also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the 2022 US Open (presently found at https://www.usopen.org/index.html), however credible media sources will also suffice. If The 2022 US Open Tennis Championships are delayed beyond or otherwise have not begun by September 18, 2022, this market will resolve to 50-50.
Why this category?
confidence: highCategory
Source
Matched term
us openReason
US Open (tennis or golf) — both are Sports.
Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.
FAQ — questions readers actually ask
What is the current Polymarket probability for "Will Novak Djokovic play in the 2022 US Open?"?
As of Fri, 05 Jun 2026 08:33:13 GMT, YES is priced at 0% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +0.0pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves by Aug 30, 2022 (2022-08-30T00:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://www.usopen.org/index.html.
What source determines the outcome?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.usopen.org/index.html. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.
How much is being traded on this market?
$0.00 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $15.5K. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $898.83. Spread between best bid and best ask: 100.0¢.
Is this a trade recommendation?
No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.
How fresh is this data and where does it come from?
This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.
Alerts
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