SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 31, 2026
Creator

Will Ousmane Dembele lead Ligue 1 in assists during the 2025-26 season?

Probability

39¢

1h

-7.0pp

24h

-7.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$41.81

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Link
ligue1.com
Type
Official statistics
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (77.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

-11.5pp 7d
Apr 28, 2026, 22:00May 5, 2026, 21:32
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-05T21-32Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 7pp over 24h

    Now 39¢; -7.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.

  • 03
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 77.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 602.5h

    LOW
  • 21:32Signal

    Resolution risk

    Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.

    LOW

Price movement

-7.0pp over the last 24h, now 39¢.

Biggest hourly move: -13.5pp at 2d ago (to 36¢).

Show top 8 of 35 hourly moves
  • 20:00 · -8.0pp → 38¢
  • 16:00 · -9.0pp → 39¢
  • 14:00 · -9.5pp → 39¢
  • 11:00 · -9.5pp → 38¢
  • 10:00 · -8.5pp → 36¢
  • 06:00 · -7.5pp → 39¢
  • 2d ago · -13.5pp → 36¢
  • 2d ago · -9.5pp → 38¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventLigue 1: Most Assists
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the player with the most assists in the 2025-2026 Ligue 1 season. Only assists recorded in Ligue 1 matches will count. Assists in other competitions (e.g., Coupe de France, Trophée des Champions, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the most assists, the market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other” The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the Ligue 1 (https://ligue1.com/en/data-zone/ligue1mcdonalds/season-stats/players/assists); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

2 wallets
Open on Polymarket