Will Ludovic Ajorque lead Ligue 1 in assists during the 2025-26 season?
Probability
56¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$14.39
Probability (last 7 days)
+9.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 56¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 843h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 78.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 842.8h
- 21:09SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 843h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-2.0pp over the last 24h, now 56¢.
Biggest hourly move: +21.0pp at 1d ago (to 68¢).
Show top 8 of 17 hourly moves
- 20:00 · +10.0pp → 57¢
- 19:00 · +8.5pp → 56¢
- 17:00 · +16.0pp → 63¢
- 15:00 · +17.0pp → 63¢
- 14:00 · +8.5pp → 55¢
- 00:00 · +11.0pp → 57¢
- 22:00 · +11.5pp → 57¢
- 1d ago · +21.0pp → 68¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the player with the most assists in the 2025-2026 Ligue 1 season. Only assists recorded in Ligue 1 matches will count. Assists in other competitions (e.g., Coupe de France, Trophée des Champions, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the most assists, the market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other” The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the Ligue 1 (https://ligue1.com/en/data-zone/ligue1mcdonalds/season-stats/players/assists); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (78.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.