Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?
Probability
24¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-10.5pp
24h Vol
$46.04
Liquidity
$645.47
Probability (last 7 days)
-8.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6017.7h
- 11:17SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6018h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 24¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 25¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 27¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 24¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 26¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 27¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 24¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 25¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 24¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 24¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 24¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 24¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 25¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 34¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 33¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pacifica (https://x.com/pacifica_fi) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Pacifica, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (34.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).