Will Rafael Cabral win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?
Probability
44¢
1h
-0.9pp
24h
-0.7pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$6.28
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.7pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5050h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 88.1¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5050.1h
- 13:56SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5050h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 45¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 46¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 48¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 41¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.8pp
to 41¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 43¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.3pp
to 44¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.3pp
to 46¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.2pp
to 47¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 36¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 38¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.9pp
to 40¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.9pp
to 41¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.9pp
to 42¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.1pp
to 43¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.1pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.7pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.6pp
to 42¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.3pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.1pp
to 47¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.7pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.7pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.4pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.1pp
to 40¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Nov 22, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (88.1¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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