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OtherExpires May 28, 2026

Will RB Leipzig finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?

Probability

95¢

1h

+0.1pp

24h

-2.4pp

24h Vol

$22.52

Liquidity

$1.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+10.7pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:00
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 95¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 778h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 6.7¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 778.0h

    LOW
  • 14:00Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 778h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 94¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 94¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -3.2pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.7pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.3pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 91¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.8pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.3pp

    to 90¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.9pp

    to 90¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.2pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.2pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.2pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.2pp

    to 88¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.8pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.8pp

    to 89¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga standings for the 2025–26 season. If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Bundesliga standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Bundesliga tiebreaking procedures. If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (6.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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