UnclassifiedMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 1, 2026
Creator

Will Rio Ave place 16th for the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season?

Probability

0¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-40.1pp

24h Vol

$10.00

Liquidity

$657.96

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Jun 1, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

-18.6pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 19:00May 3, 2026, 18:05
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 40pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $658 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 677.9h

    LOW
  • 18:05Signal

    Resolution risk

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

    LOW

Price movement

-40.1pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: +28.0pp at 3d ago (to 47¢).

Show top 8 of 59 hourly moves
  • 3d ago · +28.0pp → 47¢
  • 3d ago · +28.0pp → 47¢
  • 3d ago · +28.0pp → 47¢
  • 3d ago · +28.0pp → 47¢
  • 3d ago · +28.0pp → 47¢
  • 3d ago · +28.0pp → 47¢
  • 3d ago · +28.0pp → 47¢
  • 3d ago · +28.0pp → 47¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

11
Same eventPrimeira Liga: 16th Place (Relegation Survivor)
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 16th in the 2025-26 Primeira Liga (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 16th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 16th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

10 wallets
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