Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
Probability
24¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+6.0pp
24h Vol
$74.85
Liquidity
$418.08
Probability (last 7 days)
+11.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 6pp over 24h
Now 24¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 776h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 18.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 776.1h
- 15:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 776h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 3¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 5¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 6¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Serie A standings for the 2025-26 season. If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Serie A standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Serie A tiebreaking procedures. If the 2025-26 Serie A season is cancelled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A soccer. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (18.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).