Euphoric-Snowplow
0x725735d17e82758abf6220f714a872d61065fc40
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$491.41
Total PnL
$235.74
Realised
$424.34
Win rate
58%
139 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Racing Club vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?
337 shares @ 44.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$336.51
$185.38
- NO
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?
9 shares @ 60.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$8.93
$3.53
- YES
Will USD/CAD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?
17 shares @ 10.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.28
$3.55
- YES
Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?
21 shares @ 14.5¢·now 24.5¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$5.23
$2.14
- YES
Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?
5 shares @ 24.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$5.10
$3.83
- YES
Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?
5 shares @ 45.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$2.70
- NO
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$5.00
$2.25
- NO
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-03-07?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$5.00
$1.75
- NO
New Half-Life game by March 31?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.00
$0.80
- YES
Will Meta (META) close at <$600 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?
5 shares @ 24.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$4.95
$3.74
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jacinda Ardern be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?$0.06Jul 28, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?$2.77Jul 27, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLJoe Burrow traded to the Jets?$0.05Jul 27, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lance Stroll win the 2026 Action of the Year?$0.50Jul 27, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tommy Thompson win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Republican primary election?$0.01Jul 25, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" make it into the IMDb Top 250?$0.07Jul 23, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Michael" make it into the IMDb Top 250?$0.18Jul 23, 10:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 9?$1.35Jul 23, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 9?$1.86Jul 23, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 9?$1.85Jul 23, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be 40 or more?$0.01Jul 23, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GBP/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?$0.13Jul 23, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be 40 or more?$0.00Jul 22, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GBP/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026?$1.33Jul 21, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD/JPY hit 200 (High) in 2026?$0.11Jul 21, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD/JPY hit 200 (High) in 2026?$0.12Jul 21, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Cyr win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?$0.09Jul 21, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Cyr win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?$0.00Jul 21, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Cyr win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?$0.00Jul 21, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Cyr win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?$0.00Jul 21, 04:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
73/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 139 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
139 closed markets, 58% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 03:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 14:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 139 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.