PoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires May 7, 2026

Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?

Probability

54¢

+1.5pp

24h

+5.5pp

24h Vol

$1.5K

Liquidity

$26.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

-12.0pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 12:00Apr 25, 2026, 10:40

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 283.3h
LOW
10:40Signal
Signal · Momentum up
Probability moved up 5.5pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
MEDIUM
10:40Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 283h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
10:00Price
Probability down -19.5pp
to 52¢
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability down -17.0pp
to 55¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability down -9.0pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability down -9.0pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability down -9.0pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability down -9.0pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability down -9.0pp
to 63¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability down -10.0pp
to 62¢
MEDIUM
22:00Price
Probability down -13.5pp
to 59¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability down -14.0pp
to 59¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability down -14.5pp
to 58¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability down -14.5pp
to 58¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability down -14.5pp
to 58¢
MEDIUM
14:00Price
Probability down -21.0pp
to 52¢
MEDIUM
13:00Price
Probability down -24.5pp
to 48¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability down -23.5pp
to 48¢
MEDIUM
11:00Price
Probability down -22.5pp
to 48¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -23.0pp
to 47¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -22.5pp
to 46¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -24.0pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -24.0pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -23.0pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -22.0pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -22.0pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -20.0pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -20.0pp
to 45¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -21.0pp
to 44¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventCroydon Mayoral Election Winner

Category · Politics

Market Description

The 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: May 7, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket