Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Probability
14¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 580h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $3.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 580.3h
- 19:40SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 580h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 14¢.
Biggest hourly move: -8.0pp at 2d ago (to 8¢).
Show all 21 hour-by-hour ticks
- 19:00 · +6.5pp → 14¢
- 17:00 · +6.0pp → 14¢
- 15:00 · +6.5pp → 15¢
- 14:00 · +6.0pp → 14¢
- 12:00 · +6.0pp → 14¢
- 11:00 · +6.5pp → 14¢
- 09:00 · +6.5pp → 14¢
- 08:00 · +6.0pp → 14¢
- 06:00 · +5.0pp → 14¢
- 05:00 · +5.0pp → 14¢
- 03:00 · +7.0pp → 14¢
- 23:00 · +3.0pp → 14¢
- 21:00 · -3.0pp → 14¢
- 20:00 · -3.0pp → 14¢
- 1d ago · -3.0pp → 14¢
- 1d ago · -3.5pp → 14¢
- 1d ago · -3.0pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -5.0pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 9¢
- 2d ago · -8.0pp → 8¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
"The Boys: Season 5" is scheduled to air weekly, beginning April 8, 2026, and ending with the finale on May 20, 2026 This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "The Boys: Season 5". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "The Boys: Season 5" will count toward resolution. Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead before "The Boys: Season 5" begins will not count toward this market’s resolution. If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "The Boys: Season 5" will qualify. Only events depicted in official "The Boys: Season 5" episodes will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the final episode of "The Boys: Season 5" is released.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 20, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not stated explicitly — read the full market rules below.
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.