Will SDM Tigres win LRN 2026 Split 1?
Probability
34¢
1h
+10.0pp
24h
-11.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$105.23
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 12pp over 24h
Now 34¢; +10.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1564h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 66.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1563.9h
- 20:06SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 1564h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-10.0pp over the last 24h, now 34¢.
Biggest hourly move: +39.5pp at 1d ago (to 48¢).
Show all 37 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · +26.5pp → 34¢
- 19:00 · +16.5pp → 24¢
- 17:00 · +17.0pp → 25¢
- 15:00 · +17.5pp → 26¢
- 14:00 · +18.5pp → 26¢
- 12:00 · +28.5pp → 36¢
- 11:00 · +18.0pp → 26¢
- 09:00 · +18.5pp → 26¢
- 08:00 · +19.0pp → 27¢
- 06:00 · +19.0pp → 27¢
- 05:00 · +20.0pp → 27¢
- 03:00 · +25.0pp → 33¢
- 02:00 · +28.0pp → 35¢
- 00:00 · +32.5pp → 40¢
- 23:00 · +15.0pp → 22¢
- 21:00 · +36.5pp → 44¢
- 1d ago · +38.5pp → 46¢
- 1d ago · +36.5pp → 45¢
- 1d ago · +38.5pp → 44¢
- 1d ago · +16.0pp → 23¢
- 1d ago · +14.0pp → 23¢
- 1d ago · +38.5pp → 47¢
- 1d ago · +39.5pp → 48¢
- 1d ago · +38.5pp → 46¢
- 2d ago · +39.0pp → 48¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 46¢
- 2d ago · +9.0pp → 48¢
- 2d ago · -20.5pp → 27¢
- 2d ago · -19.5pp → 26¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 31¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 25¢
- 2d ago · -17.0pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -19.0pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -19.0pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · -19.5pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -33.0pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -27.5pp → 8¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Liga Regional Norte (LRN) 2026 Split 1. If the 2026 Split 1 is postponed after July 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingLinkTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (66.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.